Arkansas Cotton Yield & Precision Agriculture Data 2026

USDA NASS · Updated November 2026

Arkansas Cotton yield is forecast at 1,384.0 lb/acre for 2026 (USDA Oct forecast) — about 594.0 lb/ac above the US average of 790.0 lb/ac. State-level estimates, sourced directly from USDA NASS.

1,384.0 ▲ 11.7% vs 2025 Lb/acre yield 2026 · Oct forecast
+594.0 vs US avg 790.0 Gap to national average
$0.73 per pound Current farm price
1,267.9 lb/ac 7-yr avg
1,384.0 lb/ac, 2026 7-yr high
$1,014 at 1,384.0 lb/ac Gross revenue/acre

Cotton yield trend

Arkansas vs the US average, 2020–2026 (7 years of USDA NASS data)

Arkansas US average
Arkansas Cotton yield vs US average, 2020–2026
YearArkansas (lb/ac)US average (lb/ac)
20201179854
20211248820
20221189953
20231295900
20241341892
20251239852
20261384790

How Arkansas compares

Top Cotton-producing states, 2026 yield

StateYield (lb/ac)vs US avg
California1666+110.9%
Missouri1385+75.3%
Arkansas1384+75.2%
Mississippi1149+45.4%
Louisiana1091+38.1%
Tennessee1061+34.3%
North Carolina1059+34.1%
Virginia1038+31.4%

What this data means for Arkansas Cotton farmers

Arkansas cotton yield is forecast at 1,384 lb/acre for 2026 in USDA's October forecast, up 145 lb/acre from 1,239 lb/acre in 2025. That is 594 lb/acre above the US average of 790 lb/acre. The forecast is the highest of the seven seasons shown, which previously ranged from 1,179 lb/acre in 2020 to 1,341 lb/acre in 2024. USDA may still revise the forecast before the final estimate.

Precision tools help Arkansas cotton growers protect high yield potential by matching inputs to field variability. Zone-based nitrogen, variable-rate growth regulator and sensor-guided irrigation scheduling are common places to start. At the current national price of $0.667/lb, recovering 50 lb/acre is worth about $33 per acre, or roughly $33,000 on 1,000 acres. Fewer overlapped passes and trimmed input rates add further savings.

Precision ag platforms used by Arkansas Cotton farmers

Overview of major platforms — features and fit for different operation sizes. No sponsored content.

Filter:
Field mapping, yield analysis, variable-rate prescriptions. 250M+ acres globally. Tight John Deere integration. Note: owned by Bayer, recommends Bayer seed products.
Row cropsJohn DeereVRTPaid
Granular by Corteva
Farm management + agronomic records + financial tracking in one platform. Best fit for large operations needing both field data and business management tools.
Farm managementFinancialsLarge opsPaid
Satellite NDVI crop monitoring at the lowest price point in the market. Free tier available. Good entry point for operations not yet using precision ag data platforms.
SatelliteNDVIFree tierEntry level
European-built satellite field mapping with free basic plan. Strong on automatic field boundary detection and NDVI visualization. No hardware required.
SatelliteNDVIFree planNo hardware

Precision ag ROI calculator

Estimate annual savings for your Arkansas Cotton farm based on acreage and current yield

🌽 Precision Ag ROI Calculator

Estimate the payback on variable-rate seeding, zone-based fertility, and overlap reduction for your farm.

5000 ac
1384 bu/ac
Annual savings
$245,000/yr
Payback period
5 mo
3-year ROI
658%

Estimate only — based on industry-average implementation costs (variable-rate seeding $18/ac, zone-based fertility $22/ac, overlap reduction $9/ac; $12,000 fixed + $17/ac ongoing) and USDA yield benchmarks, not a quote.

USDA funding for precision ag in Arkansas
The Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP) pays about 75% of the typical cost of eligible precision-agriculture and conservation practices (90% for beginning and other historically underserved producers) — including variable-rate technology, soil sensors, and farm data platforms. Arkansas Cotton farmers may qualify for significant cost-share assistance. EQIP accepts applications year-round — contact your local USDA Service Center for your state's ranking cutoff and eligibility requirements.
Arkansas EQIP guide →

Frequently asked questions — Arkansas Cotton

Why is Arkansas cotton yield so far above the national average?

The October forecast of 1,384 lb/acre is 594 lb/acre above the US average of 790 lb/acre. Arkansas has stayed between 1,179 and 1,341 lb/acre in the previous six seasons, a consistently strong record.

Is the 1,384 lb/acre figure final?

No. It is USDA's October forecast and can be revised in later reports. The final estimate comes after harvest.

How much can precision agriculture add on Arkansas cotton?

At $0.667/lb, each 50 lb/acre recovered is worth about $33 per acre. Variable-rate inputs and irrigation scheduling are the usual ways to find it.

Can Arkansas cotton farms use EQIP for precision practices?

Yes. EQIP pays about 75% of typical practice cost for most producers and about 90% for historically underserved producers. Nutrient management is a common eligible practice, with applications through the local NRCS Service Center.

Data source: USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Crop Production report, Oct forecast 2026. The 2026 figure is a USDA forecast and will be replaced automatically when NASS publishes its next forecast or the final estimate. All yield figures are state-level estimates published by USDA NASS; this page refreshes automatically when NASS releases new numbers. nass.usda.gov